PSEi and the 2016 Presidential Election

How do the market fare during an election year ?

The 2007 chart below was an election year.

As we can see, the index started going up at the start of campaign period till July, lost steam in August then came back full steam again by September and then consolidate till the rest of the year.

The 2010 chart was a presidential election.

This chart also show that during 2010 election shows the same uptrend just like the 2007 election year but this time the uptrend extends up to the third quarter of the year then consolidates on the last 2 months of the year.

2013 chart was also an election year

This chart also shows the same uptrend for the first half of the year, but this year the bull run out of steam early on the second part of the year.

Clearly there is only one common trend between this 3 election years, the index surely goes up on the first half of an election year !

Happy Trending...
Caveat !

My mid year review for 2015

Every stocks investor including me is hoping for the Bull to take control the coming half of the year. But still the Bear have a strong momentum at the moment. From the highest close of 8,127.48 recorded last April 10, 2015 now where down and trending from 7239's lowest intra trading just last July 9 and thank god we're back to 7500's by now.

But if we were to sum up year to date, on the first trading day of 2015, the index close at 7276 and as of last friday (7.31.15) the index close to 7550. So it means the the PSEi is still on the positive with a 274 plus as of today, and if we look at the picture below, we can see that the index is still much within the uptrend line of 9 years bull run !

PSEi chart : 2009 - midyear of 2015

 Nice to see, the over all picture... thus erasing doubts that the bull runs out of steam and now relinquishing the lead to the bear.

Thus this means the this is now the opportune time to buy cheap stocks and accumulate blue chips on a bargain ? But nothing is sure in the market... With so many negative economic worries on international scene, the good part is that our economy is in an auto pilot gear toward progress thanks to GMA for laying those solid economic policies, she is truly a very good economic president.

If you still have money to invest, don't rely on rumors...
Here are some tips from the COL expert...
COL stock picks are CEB, MBT, SMPH, FLI, ALI, FGEN AND AC.
April Lee is one of my favorite Stock Analyst, the other one is Jun Calaycay of Philstock.

 So far as I can see, there is still more to be optimist for the rest of the year. We all hope that the GDP statistics that will be out in any day now will bring cheers to the gloomy trading. Also the presidential election next year will bring more money in circulation that will surely give rise to more economic activities. More economic activities will translate to higher GDP.

Next blog, we will see how the PSEi pares on an election year, specially during presidential election.